Monday, November 14, 2011

Continuing the Bobo Insanity

Though our team continues to win, and we continue to put up points, there are still many detractors out there who want to point at Mike Bobo as an inefficient playcaller. They do not believe he has what it takes to be an offensive coordinator at the level that UGA needs him to be. They believe his offense is too predictable, too easy to scheme against.

I think they should talk to Ted Roof about that. He said that they prepared all week against what we came out and did - they simply could not stop us. THAT, my friends, is what you want in an offensive football team. There is nothing more demoralizing to a defense than seeing exactly what you prepared all week to stop.....and having no ability to stop it. Now, to be fair, I've said all season that Auburn is pure garbage. In fact, I had an open facebook argument with a former High School teammate who played at Auburn while I was playing at UGA about that very fact. After their whooping at the hands of LSU, he told me that they aren't a bad team, but rather that LSU will make many teams LOOK bad this year. It was nice on Saturday to send him a message telling him not to worry, and that UGA is simply going to make a lot of teams LOOK bad this year.

Anyway, I've taken fire as of late for supporting Mike Bobo. I've been told we're only succeeding because of our schedule...that he wouldn't look good if we weren't playing crap teams. Sure, you can say can also look at the combined W-L totals of AL and LSU's opponents, and say the same thing. So, I decided to do another quick look at the stats for this season. I looked at 9 of our games, excluding Coastal Carolina because they're not D-I. I used ONLY the offensive stats from those games, and compared them to each opponent's adjusted season average. When I say adjusted, I mean that I removed the effects of the UGA games on those averages so that I could get a good picture of what our opponents' defenses have given up against EVERYONE ELSE. Below is a table of my findings.

As you can see, Bobo's offense has been outperforming the average offense against our opponents in the vast majority of instances. Only twice have we failed to score as many points as the opponent surrenders on average - and those were both wins. Of particular note is the success our offense had against the defenses in the first two games. Yes, those were both losses. However, our offense scored 25 more points against South Carolina than they surrender on average. We were only a field-goal better than average against Boise, but better all the same.

Against the 9 opponents we've faced, our offense averages 70 more ypg and 9 more ppg than the defenses we face surrender. Exactly how is that bad?

Go Dawgs


ιωναθαν said...

Amazing that no one wants to comment when you tell them what they don't want to hear!

I have to admit that I haven't exactly been very fond of Bobo's playcalling, but you have pointed out some very good facts and I appreciate your research and passion for the Dawgs!

Thanks for helping those of us who have never actually played organized football see things in a different light.

Anonymous said...

Man, I would love to have read your play-by-play analysis of the Auburn game.

Ben Dukes said...

Hahahaha. Thanks. Yeah, no DVR at the moment, and limited time to devote to such pursuits. It was a very fun game to watch, though. They rarely figured out ANYTHING that worked against us.

Want to know what really sucked?

Before the Tigers' touchdown, I said to my friend - "Touchdown Pass to Lutzenkirken." I just had a feeling. I knew it was gonna be something screwy, and I knew he was gonna end up with the ball.

Want to know what's really awesome?

In describing the above, I said "before the Tigers' touchdown"...meaning SINGULAR. Love it.

Go Dawgs.